Archived report
2026-10-05: Watch
- Original forecast
- Watch forecast
- Evidence available at the time
- OpenAI: Partial System Degradation; Other: World Summit AI 2026, Amsterdam (Oct 7-8) (2026-10-07)
- Later outcome
- Directionally correct
- Forecast grade
- directional
- What changed afterward
- Issued as Watch; grading after the window closes.