Archived report
2026-10-01: Advisory
- Original forecast
- Advisory forecast
- Evidence available at the time
- OpenAI: Partial System Degradation; OpenAI: OpenAI DevDay 2026: always-on 'dots' agents in ChatGPT
- Later outcome
- Directionally correct
- Forecast grade
- directional
- What changed afterward
- Issued as Advisory; grading after the window closes.