Archived report
2026-09-29: Advisory
- Original forecast
- Advisory forecast
- Evidence available at the time
- OpenAI: Partial System Degradation; OpenAI: OpenAI DevDay 2026: GPT-6.1 Sol, plugin extensions, Ultrafast tier
- Later outcome
- Directionally correct
- Forecast grade
- directional
- What changed afterward
- Issued as Advisory; grading after the window closes.