Archived report
2026-09-11: Advisory
- Original forecast
- Advisory forecast
- Evidence available at the time
- Anthropic: 1 open incident: Degraded functionality for Claude Cowork on Windows; Google: Gemini desktop app launches on Windows
- Later outcome
- Directionally correct
- Forecast grade
- directional
- What changed afterward
- Issued as Advisory; grading after the window closes.