Archived report
2026-08-05: Advisory
- Original forecast
- Advisory forecast
- Evidence available at the time
- Anthropic: 1 open incident: Degraded performance of multiple models; Google: Similarweb data: AI answers now in 43% of Google searches
- Later outcome
- Directionally correct
- Forecast grade
- directional
- What changed afterward
- Issued as Advisory; grading after the window closes.