Archived report
2026-07-27: Advisory
- Original forecast
- Advisory forecast
- Evidence available at the time
- Anthropic: 1 open incident: Elevated errors on Claude Opus 5; OpenAI: Global OpenAI outage hits ChatGPT, API and Codex
- Later outcome
- Directionally correct
- Forecast grade
- directional
- What changed afterward
- Issued as Advisory; grading after the window closes.