Archived report
2026-07-25: Advisory
- Original forecast
- Advisory forecast
- Evidence available at the time
- Anthropic: 1 open incident: Elevated errors for Claude Fable 5, Claude Sonnet 5, Claude Haiku 4.5, and other models; OpenAI: ChatGPT Health opens to all US adult users
- Later outcome
- Directionally correct
- Forecast grade
- directional
- What changed afterward
- Issued as Advisory; grading after the window closes.